Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Global demand economic growth in non oecd will drive further increases in global energy consumption. At the heart of global trends 2030 are four megatrends that it identifies as the most significant trends that will affect the world looking out over a decadeandahalf into the future. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during. Asia will account for around 60% of the total increase6. The european union institute for security studies euiss recently produced global trends 2030 citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world. Studies euiss, 2012, global trends 2030 citizens in an interconnected. Euiss homepage european union institute for security studies. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. Trends and strategie s for europe vii next 5 to 10 years, a large domestic savings and investment imbalance is likely to follow.
Union institute for security studies euiss on overall global. Megatrends and the transition from a managed to an. The euiss is an autonomous agency with full intellectual freedom and researches security issues of relevance for the eu and provides a forum for debate. Global trends to 2030 challenges and choices for europe.
Ce n f the di eo re ic te l in llige na of nat or io ct of f dear reader. Deloitte ports industry global trends in the ports industry 17 each driver represents a shift in demographics, society, technology, or the economy that impacts the future. Jan 09, 2017 global trends is the intelligence communitys major assessment of the forces and choices shaping the world over the next two decades. Global trends and risks that will shape the world over the next 20 years 4 1. A game without a referee the relative decline of the west, the process of globalisation, and the emergence of new powers is creating a world with several interconnected poles. Megatrends affecting science, technology and innovation. Workingage populations are shrinking in wealthy countries, china, and russia but growing in developing, poorer countries, particularly in africa and south asia, increasing economic, employment. This study considers eight economic, societal, and political global trends that will shape. The underlying structural crisis of modernity this is obviously not a simple subject. All such very likely developments, in part within the 2030 time horizon, will require a kind of global leviathan enforcing limitations on development and use of dangerous or disruptibe technologies worldwide with very radical implications for global governance not coped with in the relevant publication. Polycentrism in a posthegemonic world and the future of. Alternative worlds 2012 by the national intelligence council, whereas, in turn, the study citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world.
The lancet, future life expectancy in 35 industrialised. Global trends 2030 citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world brussels. Global trends 2030 free ebook download as pdf file. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. Pdf the global trendometer is produced annually by the global trends unit of the. European union institute for security studies european union the european union institute for security studies euiss is a parisbased agency of the european union eu within the realm of common foreign and security policy cfsp. Its core mission is to assist the eu and its member states in the. The next decade will be defining for the future of europe and europes role in the world. A transformative industrial and technological revolution. The color print, charts, and pullouts as well as the easytoread summary and overview make this book readily accessible for any investor.
Bill burkewhite what will be the shape of the united nations security council unsc in 2030. Thematic report 6 find, read and cite all the research you need on. The european union institute for security studies euiss is the unions agency dealing with the analysis of foreign, security and defence policy issues. Megatrends and the transition from a managed to an entrepreneurial. Citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world summary theme major trends ancillary trends empowerment of individuals. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. System espas on global economic trends up to the horizon of 2030 and how they matter. Florence gaub is the deputy director of the european union institute for security studies euiss and is the lead author of this espas report global trends to 2030. Paradox of progress global trends and key implications through 2035 the rich are aging, the poor are not. A more vulnerable process of globalisation, shift to asia global trend 3. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. The global governance 2025 project is innovative in many respects. Thematic report 3 marlon graf, jeremy ghez, dmitry khodyakov, ohid yaqub.
Global trends to 2030 challenges and choices for europe euiss. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. In addition to overseeing the euiss research activities, florence works on strategic foresight, geopolitics as well as the middle east and north africa. Will the international monetary fund imf and world bank exist in 2030. This is the first time the nic has jointly developed and produced an unclassified report with a nonus body. European union institute for security studies wikipedia.
Thematic report 1 benoit guerin, stijn hoorens, dmitry khodyakov, ohid yaqub. Unique among intelligence products of this depth and stature, the national intelligence councils quadrennial global trends report is completely unclassified. Its core mission is to assist the eu and its member states in the implementation of the common foreign and security policy cfsp, including the common security and defence policy csdp as. A snapshot of the global trends 2030 report posted by globaltrends2030. Individual empowerment global societal trends to 2030. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. This diffusion of power was one of the megatrends identified by the report global trends 2030. Based on findings from the european strategy and policy analysis system espas, the report provides policymakers with data on global trends to inform their decisionmaking.
Euiss report for espas, global trends 2030 citizens in an. Strategies and trends for europe by the european commission at the request of an interinstitutional task force, with full respect for the intellectual independence of ceps. A growing and ageing population global societal trends to 2030. All such very likely developments, in part within the 2030 time horizon, will require a kind of global leviathan enforcing limitations on development and use of dangerous or disruptibe technologies worldwide with very radical implications for global governance. Citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world was published in april 2012. European strategy and policy analysis system espas, 2012. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Dec 07, 2014 global trends 2030 is not the stuffy tome that one usually expects from a government agency. Pdf on jan 1, 2015, sam drabble and others published the rise of a global middle class. The european strategy and policy analysis system espas provides a framework for cooperation and consultation at administrative level, on a voluntary basis, between the european parliament, the european commission, the council of the european union, and the european external action service, with the committee of the regions and the european economic and social committee as observers, to work.
Euiss and is the lead author of this espas report global trends to 2030. Previous editions of global trends have also identified megatrends, and if there is one part of gt2030 that is the most mature and welldeveloped, it is this megatrends aspect of the. A global human community but a growing expectations gap empowerment of individuals global rise of the middle class. Before launching work on the current volume, the nic commissioned an academic study of the four previous global trends studies, going to back to the first edition in 199697. According to policymakers in the us, eu, russia, and nato, trends may bend in many potential directions, ranging from the rise of technologically empowered individuals. Union institute for strategic studies euiss on overall global trends, then established a working group for each of the three specific fields, commissioned further research reports from leading think tanks in each field in 20 and subjected. Now that were living in an interconnected and polycentric world, the eu spends millions trying to work out how it can still tell us what to do.
Its aim was not to predict exactly how theworld will look in 2030, but rather to map major, existing trends that are likely to shape the future and will need to be taken into account by the union as it defines coherent strategic options for the next governance cycle. Global trends, values, and ethics is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. Studies euiss was commissioned by the task force to assess the longterm, international and domestic, political and economic contexts in which the union is likely to operate in coming decades. Global trends to 2035 geopolitics and international power this study considers eight economic, societal, and political global trends that will shape the world to 2035, namely an ageing population, fragile globalisation, a technological revolution, climate change, shifting power. Richer, older and more urban human race with an expanding global middle class and greater inequalities global trend 2. But any attempt to deal with global trends to 2030 must deal with this as a structurally framing reality if it is to be taken seriously. The euiss 2012 report and the regular efforts of the national.
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